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Heres who Fortune thinks are the winners and losers of the Herbalife drama. Losers Bill Ackman View photos Bill Ackman, founder and CEO of hedge fund firm Pershing Square Capital Management.Photograph by David Orrell - CNBC/NBCU Photo Bank via Getty Images More The Pershing Square hedge fund manager has lost at least $500 million on his bet against Herbalife stock, based on Fortunes calculations. And an unquantifiable amount from his once platinum investment reputation. Shorting a stock like Ackman did with Herbalife means you make money when the stock goes down (it requires borrowing shares, which eventually need to be bought back and returned, which is only profitable if the stock price has dropped in the meantime). Herbalifes stock surged nearly 10% on Friday after the FTC settlement was announced (and it surged as much as 18% earlier in the day). At $65 per share, Herbalifes stock is now $18 higher than where it was when Ackman began betting its price would fall back in May 2012, at an average $47 per share. So how much did Ackman lose? He shorted approximately 20.2 million shares, Fortune estimates, based on his firms publicly available transparency reports. (Ackman has a publicly traded investment vehicle that trades in Amsterdam.) Those reports, though, only correspond to about 37% of Ackmans overall portfolio, so we adjusted the share figures to get to the firms total short position. Multiply it out, and it comes to a loss of about $364 million if Ackman bought back all the shares today.

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